Determinants of Social Spending in Latin America
نویسندگان
چکیده
Determinants of Social Spending in Latin America and the Caribbean Evelyne Huber, Thomas Mustillo, and John D. Stephens University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill We examine the determinants of social expenditure in an unbalanced pooled time series analysis for 22 Latin American and Caribbean countries for the period 1970 to 2000. The data are from a new data set assembled by the co-authors and collaborators. The social spending data are calculated from IMF sources and allow us to separate out education and health spending from social security and welfare spending. We extend the Coppedge coding of Latin American parties to a wider set of countries and years. We also code constitutions in order to develop an adapted Huber and Stephens (2001) constitutional structure veto points measure. Thus, for the first time, we present an analysis of social spending in Latin America and the Caribbean with a full complement of partisanship, state structure, economic, and demographic variables that have been employed in studies of advanced industrial countries. We find that seat share of right-wing parties in the legislature is a highly significant predictor of social security spending, whereas seat share of left-wing parties is a significant predictor of health and education spending. Veto points depress health and education but not social security spending.
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